CWS Forecast Verification
General Statistics - Shift Rankings - Individual Shift Stats - Zone Stats - Graphs

Statistics from August 24th, 2009 to December 11th, 2009
Shift #Forecasts - The number of forecasts that went into the calculations. HEHigh Error - All forecast periods. Error from range. Cannot be used for bias. HERHigh Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Error from range. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. HEBHigh Error Bias - All forecast periods. Error from range. '-' means underforecast, '+' means overforecast. LELow Error - All forecast periods. Error from range. Cannot be used for bias. LERLow Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Error from range. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. LEBLow Error Bias - All forecast periods. Error from range. '-' means underforecast, '+' means overforecast. RERain Error - All forecast periods. Closer to 0 the more accurate. Cannot be used for bias. Calculated by averaging 1 for a miss and 0 for a hit. RERRain Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. MEMix Error - All forecast periods. Closer to 0 the more accurate. Cannot be used for bias. Calculated by averaging 1 for a miss and 0 for a hit. MERMix Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. SESnow Error - All forecast periods. Closer to 0 the more accurate. Cannot be used for bias. SERSnow Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. CECloud Error - All forecast periods. Closer to 0 the more accurate. Cannot be used for bias. Clouds are rated on a range. 0 is clear and 4 is overcast. This error is the average of the error from the forecasted value to observed. CERCloud Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. OEROverall Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods - Average of Temperature, Cloud, and Precip Error Ratios. The lower the better.
AB 130 1.75 0.97 + 1.59 0.1 - 0.27 0.64 0.04 0.78 0 0 2.33 1.17 0.61
FA 130 1.37 0.76 + 1.35 0.09 - 0.27 0.63 0.06 1.17 0.04 3.69 1.57 0.78 1.19
FM 117 1.97 1.09 + 1.64 0.11 - 0.27 0.65 0.03 0.69 0.01 0.82 1.99 0.99 0.73
MA 129 1.26 0.7 + 1.5 0.1 - 0.4 0.95 0.01 0.16 0 0.37 2.3 1.15 0.57
MM 127 2.17 1.19 + 2.15 0.14 - 0.47 1.12 0 0.08 0 0.38 2 1 0.65
MN 18 1.5 0.83 + 2.25 0.15 - 0.42 0.99 0 0 0 0 1.67 0.83 0.47
RA 130 1.56 0.86 + 38.24 2.51 - 0.38 0.9 0.06 1.17 0.02 1.48 1.65 0.83 1.29
RM 127 1.98 1.09 - 39.4 2.58 - 0.46 1.09 0.08 1.59 0.01 1.13 1.67 0.83 1.39
RN 119 1.67 0.92 + 37.9 2.48 - 0.5 1.19 0.09 1.78 0.01 1.21 1.66 0.83 1.4
SB 118 1.57 0.87 + 1.66 0.11 - 0.31 0.72 0 0 0 0 2.5 1.25 0.49
TA 119 1.71 0.94 + 1.56 0.1 - 0.5 1.19 0.05 0.93 0.01 0.81 1.93 0.97 0.82
TM 88 1.77 0.97 + 1.5 0.1 - 0.48 1.13 0.02 0.46 0.01 0.55 2.23 1.12 0.72
TN 116 2.26 1.25 + 2.45 0.16 - 0.58 1.37 0.06 1.22 0.01 0.83 2.27 1.14 1
WM 129 2.53 1.4 + 38.74 2.54 - 0.58 1.37 0.1 1.96 0.02 1.49 2.05 1.03 1.63
WN 130 1.87 1.03 + 38.38 2.52 - 0.47 1.1 0.1 1.94 0.01 1.11 2.01 1 1.45

Shift Rankings Individual Shift Statistics
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Shift:

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Zone Statistics
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