CWS Forecast Verification
General Statistics - Shift Rankings - Individual Shift Stats - Zone Stats - Graphs

Statistics from August 25th, 2008 to December 22nd, 2008
Shift #Forecasts - The number of forecasts that went into the calculations. HEHigh Error - All forecast periods. Error from range. Cannot be used for bias. HERHigh Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Error from range. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. HEBHigh Error Bias - All forecast periods. Error from range. '-' means underforecast, '+' means overforecast. LELow Error - All forecast periods. Error from range. Cannot be used for bias. LERLow Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Error from range. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. LEBLow Error Bias - All forecast periods. Error from range. '-' means underforecast, '+' means overforecast. RERain Error - All forecast periods. Closer to 0 the more accurate. Cannot be used for bias. Calculated by averaging 1 for a miss and 0 for a hit. RERRain Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. MEMix Error - All forecast periods. Closer to 0 the more accurate. Cannot be used for bias. Calculated by averaging 1 for a miss and 0 for a hit. MERMix Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. SESnow Error - All forecast periods. Closer to 0 the more accurate. Cannot be used for bias. SERSnow Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. CECloud Error - All forecast periods. Closer to 0 the more accurate. Cannot be used for bias. Clouds are rated on a range. 0 is clear and 4 is overcast. This error is the average of the error from the forecasted value to observed. CERCloud Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods. Skill: 1 is average, <1 better than average, >1 worse than average. OEROverall Error Ratio to Average - All forecast periods - Average of Temperature, Cloud, and Precip Error Ratios. The lower the better.
FA 10 0.3 0.18 + 1.3 0.59 - 0.6 1.42 0 0 0 0 1.8 1.01 0.53
MA 10 0.7 0.42 + 0.85 0.39 + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.4 0.22 0.17
MM 2 1.5 0.91 + 0.5 0.23 + 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.56 0.28
MN 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.5 1.4 0.23
RA 20 0.85 0.52 - 3.03 1.38 - 0.73 1.71 0 0 0 0 1.65 0.93 0.76
RM 18 1.81 1.09 + 2.22 1.02 - 0.64 1.51 0 0 0 0 0.83 0.47 0.68
RN 20 1.38 0.83 + 3.35 1.53 - 0.6 1.42 0 0 0 0 1.73 0.97 0.79
TA 20 2.63 1.59 + 1.13 0.51 0 0.23 0.53 0 0 0 0 2.23 1.25 0.65
TM 10 2.7 1.64 + 1.7 0.78 - 0.3 0.71 0 0 0 0 2.7 1.52 0.78
TN 20 1.5 0.91 + 1.88 0.86 - 0.28 0.65 0 0 0 0 1.23 0.69 0.52
WA 20 1.8 1.09 + 2.63 1.2 - 0.25 0.59 0 0 0 0 2.38 1.33 0.7
WM 20 1.95 1.18 + 2.28 1.04 - 0.38 0.89 0 0 0 0 2.33 1.31 0.74
WN 19 2.05 1.24 + 2.66 1.22 - 0.58 1.37 0 0 0 0 2.08 1.17 0.83

Shift Rankings Individual Shift Statistics
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Shift:

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Zone Statistics
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